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Earthquake Renews Focus on Building Codes, Retrofits, and Early Warning Systems

An earthquake that affected an extensive region renewed international focus on March 14, 2025, on the engineering, regulatory, and operational measures — including building codes, seismic retrofit programmes, and early warning systems — through which seismically active societies have been progressively reducing the human and economic costs of the events that their geology makes inevitable.

The Daily Chronicle News Desk
March 14, 2025
12 min read
Earthquake Renews Focus on Building Codes, Retrofits, and Early Warning Systems

An earthquake that affected an extensive region renewed international focus on March 14, 2025, on the engineering, regulatory, and operational measures — including building codes, seismic retrofit programmes, and early warning systems — through which seismically active societies have been progressively reducing the human and economic costs of the events that their geology makes inevitable. The day's reporting, which combines coverage of the immediate response with broader analytical attention to the long-running work of preparedness that any major event prompts, fits within a pattern of public engagement with seismic hazard that has been advancing across many jurisdictions for many years and that today's event has brought back into the foreground of public conversation.

The specific dimensions of the event drawing attention today are characteristic of the kind of major earthquake that seismically active regions experience at intervals measured in years to decades. The structural damage, the disruption to essential services, the casualties, and the broader human consequences that have followed the event will be assessed in detail in the days and weeks ahead, with the picture clarifying as inspections proceed and as access is restored to communities temporarily isolated by debris and other access constraints. The patterns of damage being reported are familiar from previous major events, with older buildings and structures with specific known vulnerabilities sustaining the most severe impacts and with newer construction designed and maintained to current codes generally performing better.

A structural engineer documents post-earthquake conditions at a building under inspection as part of the regional damage assessment programme
A structural engineer documents post-earthquake conditions at a building under inspection as part of the regional damage assessment programme

The Long Arc of Earthquake Engineering

The modern practice of earthquake engineering has developed through more than a century of research, regulation, and lessons drawn from major events. The progressive understanding of how buildings and other structures respond to seismic ground motion, the development of design methods and detailing requirements that allow structures to be built to perform predictably under earthquake conditions, the establishment and progressive strengthening of building codes that translate engineering knowledge into binding requirements, and the parallel development of inspection and enforcement systems that support implementation together constitute the institutional infrastructure within which the built environment of seismically active regions has been progressively improved.

Specific milestones in the development of contemporary earthquake engineering reflect the lessons drawn from specific major events. The 1906 San Francisco earthquake produced fundamental advances in understanding of seismic ground motion and structural response. The 1923 Great Kantō earthquake in Japan informed the development of seismic codes that have shaped Japanese practice through subsequent decades. The 1971 San Fernando earthquake in California produced specific lessons about the performance of specific building types — including older non-ductile concrete frames, hospitals, and bridges — that prompted substantial regulatory and operational changes. Subsequent major events including the 1985 Mexico City earthquake, the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake, the 1995 Kobe earthquake, the 1999 İzmit earthquake, the 2010 Maule and Haiti earthquakes, the 2011 Tōhoku earthquake, the 2023 Türkiye–Syria earthquakes, and other events have each contributed specific lessons that have been incorporated into the continuing evolution of practice.

The progressive strengthening of building codes through these lessons has produced substantial improvements in the performance of buildings constructed under current codes compared with their counterparts built under earlier codes or in the absence of code requirements. Specific advances include the development of capacity design principles that ensure that structures fail in ductile rather than brittle modes; the development of detailing requirements for reinforcement that support the ductile response intended by capacity design; the development of base isolation and supplemental damping systems for specific applications including hospitals, museums, and other facilities where higher performance is required; and the broader integration of performance-based seismic design that allows specific performance objectives to be matched to specific facilities. The cumulative effect across decades of evolution has been a substantial improvement in the seismic resilience of new construction.

The Challenge of Existing Buildings

The substantial improvements in code-conforming new construction stand in contrast to the ongoing challenge presented by existing buildings constructed under earlier codes or before any code requirements existed. The built environment of any settled region is dominated by buildings constructed across many decades, with newer code-conforming construction representing only a portion of the total stock and with the vulnerable older stock often concentrated in specific districts, in specific building types, and in specific occupancies. The progressive replacement of older buildings through normal redevelopment cycles addresses some of the challenge, but the pace of replacement is far slower than would be required to address the vulnerability of existing stock through replacement alone.

Seismic retrofit programmes — through which existing buildings are upgraded to improve their performance under earthquake conditions — have been developed in many jurisdictions to address the vulnerability of existing buildings. Specific programmes have targeted specific building types known to be particularly vulnerable: unreinforced masonry buildings, soft-story buildings with weak ground stories that are particularly common in residential occupancies with parking or commercial space at street level, older non-ductile concrete frame buildings, and other types whose performance under earthquake conditions has been documented as particularly poor. The technical, financial, and political challenges of implementing major retrofit programmes have been substantial in every jurisdiction that has attempted them, and the progressive development of effective programmes has been an important policy story of recent decades.

The specific design of retrofit programmes varies across jurisdictions. Some programmes operate through mandatory requirements that owners of specific building types must complete specific retrofits within specific timeframes, supported by specific financing mechanisms and regulatory enforcement. Others operate through voluntary incentives, including specific financial support, specific tax provisions, and specific recognition arrangements that encourage retrofit work. Many programmes combine mandatory and voluntary elements in specific ways. The specific track records of these programmes — including the rate of retrofit completion, the performance of retrofitted buildings in subsequent events, the financial costs and burdens, and the broader social consequences — provide the evidence base on which the continuing evolution of programme design depends.

Earthquake Early Warning Systems

The development of earthquake early warning systems represents one of the more substantial advances in operational earthquake response of recent decades. These systems use the rapid detection of seismic waves at sensors close to an earthquake's epicentre to provide warning to areas that will be affected by the slower-travelling damaging seismic waves, allowing seconds to tens of seconds of warning depending on distance from the epicentre. The specific seconds of warning that such systems can provide may seem modest, but the actions that can be taken in those seconds — automated braking of trains, automated controls of industrial processes, automated isolation of utilities, alerting of medical procedures in progress, and personal protective actions by individuals — can substantially reduce the human and economic costs of major earthquakes.

Operational early warning systems are now in service in several seismically active regions. The Japanese Meteorological Agency operates a comprehensive system covering Japan, with public alerts delivered through multiple channels including mobile phone networks, broadcast media, and dedicated infrastructure. The ShakeAlert system operating across the western United States provides warnings for the U.S. West Coast, with public alerts and specific arrangements for partnered users in critical infrastructure and emergency response. Similar systems operate in Mexico, in Taiwan, in South Korea, and in other jurisdictions, with continuing work in additional regions where the seismic context warrants the substantial investment that operational systems require.

Specific lessons from the operational experience of early warning systems inform their continuing development. The specific timing of warnings, the specific accuracy of magnitude and location estimates produced rapidly during ongoing events, the specific reliability of automated actions triggered by warnings, the specific effectiveness of public alert delivery through different channels, and the specific user behaviours that warnings produce all continue to be the subject of operational research. The progressive improvement of these systems through continued operation and through the lessons of specific events extends the value that early warning can provide.

Public Education and Personal Preparedness

Beyond the engineering and operational systems, the personal preparedness of individuals and households contributes substantially to outcomes during major earthquakes. The familiar guidance — drop, cover, and hold during shaking; have emergency supplies on hand; secure heavy furniture and appliances that could topple; develop and rehearse family communication plans; be prepared to be self-sufficient for an extended period after a major event — represents the personal-action complement to the broader institutional and engineering response.

Public education programmes such as the Great ShakeOut, which conducts annual drop, cover, and hold drills across many jurisdictions worldwide, have been refining the practical guidance and the public engagement that supports household-level preparedness. The cumulative effect across many millions of participants over many years has been a substantial increase in public familiarity with appropriate protective actions during earthquake shaking, with consequences for individual outcomes during real events that have been documented in studies of post-event behaviour. The continuing investment in public education across many jurisdictions reflects the recognition that personal preparedness is a substantial complement to the broader institutional response.

Specific work to address the particular preparedness needs of specific populations — including non-native speakers of the local language, residents with disabilities affecting mobility or communication, residents in specific occupancies including high-rise buildings and care facilities, schoolchildren, and others — extends the reach of preparedness programmes. Specific guidance for specific contexts, specific arrangements for specific kinds of facilities, and specific engagement with specific communities together constitute the broader work of building preparedness across diverse populations.

Lessons from the Current Event

The current event will, like previous major events, yield specific lessons that the continuing work of seismic resilience will incorporate. Specific engineering investigations of the performance of specific building types, of specific structural systems, of specific construction practices, and of specific elements of the built environment will inform the continuing evolution of design requirements and of inspection and enforcement systems. Specific operational reviews of the response — including the performance of early warning systems where they are operating, the effectiveness of evacuation procedures and shelter operations, the integration of international assistance with domestic response, and the broader coordination across the many actors engaged — will inform the continuing development of operational practice. Specific social and behavioural research on how affected populations responded to the event, on the effectiveness of public communication, and on the specific factors that shaped individual and community-level outcomes will inform the continuing development of public preparedness work.

The specific commitments to learning from the event that are being made by the responsible institutions across the affected region and across the broader international community of practice will determine in significant measure the long-run value that the event yields for future preparedness. The substantial body of literature, of practice guidance, of code provisions, and of operational protocols that has accumulated through previous major events demonstrates the value that systematic learning from events can produce. The contribution that the current event will make to that broader body of knowledge depends on the specific work being undertaken now and in the coming months and years to capture and to apply the lessons it offers.

What Members of the Public Can Do

For members of the public engaged with the situation drawing attention today and with the broader question of seismic preparedness in their own contexts, several constructive avenues for action exist. Following authoritative public communications about the current event from trusted sources — including national geological surveys and seismic monitoring institutions, national emergency management agencies, and partnered media whose coverage of seismic matters is grounded in established practice — provides the basis for informed individual engagement with the situation as it develops.

For members of the public in seismically active regions whose own preparedness may benefit from attention, specific resources are available through national, state and provincial, and local emergency management agencies. Specific guidance on personal and household preparedness, on home upgrades that improve seismic performance for both new and existing construction, on participation in public education programmes such as the Great ShakeOut, and on the broader actions individuals can take to improve their own outcomes during future events provides specific opportunities for constructive contribution.

For members of the public who wish to support broader efforts financially, donations to recognised humanitarian organisations engaged in the response to the current event, and contributions to organisations whose ongoing work addresses seismic preparedness in vulnerable regions, can support the operational and longer-term work that those organisations are conducting. Specific guidance on choosing organisations to support is available through the established mechanisms for evaluating charitable organisations.

Looking Ahead

The hours, days, and weeks ahead will see continued response to the immediate consequences of the current event, continued investigation of its specific characteristics and impacts, and continued public attention to the broader question of seismic preparedness that the event has prompted. The longer arc of recovery and reconstruction in the affected region will extend over months and years, with the specific path determined by the many decisions of the many actors engaged with the work. The broader contribution of the event to the continuing evolution of seismic engineering, of preparedness practice, of operational response systems, and of the institutional infrastructure that supports seismic resilience will accumulate over a longer timescale still, with the specific lessons captured through systematic post-event work eventually informing practice across many jurisdictions.

For affected populations themselves, the immediate experience is one of working through difficult circumstances with the support of the responses that have been mobilised. The specific resilience that affected communities demonstrate, even in the most difficult conditions, is one of the consistent features of major earthquake responses and one of the elements that the longer-term recovery will be built on. The specific contributions of affected populations to their own recovery and to the broader picture of response will be substantial in the months and years ahead.

For the broader international community, the current event reinforces the importance of sustained attention to seismic preparedness as a continuing element of the broader work of disaster risk reduction. The specific lessons of the event, when they are fully captured through systematic post-event investigation, will contribute to the ongoing strengthening of practice that has been advancing across many decades. The work continues, the institutions are engaged, and the commitment to applying and to extending the substantial capabilities that have been built up over generations of experience with earthquakes is one of the elements that the situation calls upon those engaged with it to sustain.

Published on March 14, 2025 in World